Judging the Royals

Kansas City Star

Games » Minnesota Twins

Jun29

90 feet from disaster

Lee Judge

The Kansas City Star

The Royals had a three-run lead going into the bottom of the ninth inning. How hard could it be for Jonathan Broxton to get the save? Tying run on second, nobody out hard. Before the inning was over, the tying run was on third. The Royals were 90 feet from disaster.

So how did this three-alarm emergency come about?

Luis Mendoza pitched eight innings, struck out five, gave up one earned one and saved the Royals bullpen for what will be a tough doubleheader Saturday. Mendoza, who in the past has struggled when facing a batting order for the third time (they’ve hit .452 off him) breezed through the Twins order for the third time in the 6th, 7th and 8th innings. After the game Ned Yost said Mendoza had given him no reason to remove him from the game and the Royals starters need to pitch deeper into games when possible.

Mendoza was at 115 pitches so even if Ned sent him back out for the ninth, even a relatively clean inning would have Luis close to 130 pitches. So Ned brought in Broxton. Yost has said that “your closer is your closer” and he’s not inclined to let someone else create a mess, then ask Broxton to get the team out of it. Considering Broxton’s habit of creating his own mess, this seems like a wise policy.

The Royals closer walked the leadoff batter, took a single off the leg, then gave up a double to Joe Mauer and still did not have an out in the inning. Time for the Houdini act: now that there was a real emergency on hand, Broxton got a grounder to short that froze Mauer at second, a fly ball to center that allowed Mauer to tag and advance to third and, finally, a pop up to Mike Moustakas to end the game.

If Jonathan Broxton were a fireman, I get the feeling he’d show up at your burning house, tell you he was going to let the blaze really get going just to make things interesting and then put out the fire. And he’d probably make it work. Jonathan Broxton has a 2.05 ERA and 20 saves, fourth best in the American League.

Game notes

First inning: Alex Gordon leads off the game with a hustle double. Yuniesky Betancourt steps to the plate and has one of two jobs: move the runner over or drive him in. The third base coach has a sign he can give hitters to tell them what they should be trying to do. Normally, you’d expect a No. 2 hitter to be moving the runner over, but Betancourt has been swinging the bat well and left-handed Mike Moustakas is on deck. The Twins starter, Brian Duensing is also a lefty so it’s not out of the question that Betancourt is being asked to drive Gordon in.

Yuni grounds out to third on a pitch down and in, so he’s either trying to drive Gordon in or exhibiting lousy pitch selection for a guy trying to move a runner over. After Mike Moustakas grounds out, Billy Butler gets a two-out RBI — he hardest kind — and the score is Royals 1, Twins 0.

Second inning: On a 3-1 count a Duensing sinker doesn’t sink and Salvador Perez shows opposite field power, depositing the ball in the right field seats.

Alcides Escobar demonstrates good bat control, hitting the ball to the right side when Twins second baseman, Jamey Carroll vacates the right side to cover second base on a hit and run. Escobar has shown occasional power, the ability to handle the bat, bunt for hits and steal bases.

He also plays pretty good defense.

In the bottom of the inning the Twins score a run when Luis Mendoza buries a pitch and Salvador Perez, in what appears to be a rare mistake, tries to glove the ball instead of blocking it. Base runner, Trevor Plouffe advances to second, then scores on a Ryan Doumit single, Royals 2, Twins 1.

Fifth inning: Alcides Escobar bunts for a hit. One of the reasons Esky is hitting .318 is his ability to run. By contrast, Billy Butler is hitting .298 without the benefit of speed. Players refer to this as a “hard” .298, meaning it really reflects good hitting without too many cheap infield singles mixed in. Escobar scores on a Betancourt double, Royals 3, Twins 1.

Ninth inning:

Joe Mauer demonstrates why he’s such a good hitter: he doesn’t swing the bat until he has two strikes or gets the pitch he wants. Mauer doubles on a 3-2 slider, but Jonathan Broxton strands him at third base, Royals win 4-3.

Ahead of the game

After the game Ned Yost said he had Jose Mijares up in the eighth inning, just in case Mendoza had any trouble with the bottom of the order. The Twins had three-left handed hitters at the top of the order — Denard Span, Ben Revere and Joe Mauer — so Mijares was an insurance policy to be used, if needed, to get the ball to the back end of the pen.

I’m trying to pay more attention to Ned’s managerial moves. He did the same thing the other night: he got Kelvin Herrera up just in case Bruce Chen could not finish the 7th, but once Bruce made it through the inning, sat Herrera back down and went to Aaron Crow for the 8th. So Ned knows what he wants to do in the 8th and 9th inning each night, but has somebody ready in case the pitcher falters before he gets there.

Ned’s taken a lot of criticism for his managing — all managers do — but after watching him set up at-bats in the ninth inning with double switches in the seventh during interleague play (I wonder how many of his critics could have done as well), I’ve been impressed with his ability to generally stay ahead of the game. Managers who anticipate situations and put themselves in a position to deal with them are managing “ahead” of the game, managers who wait until a crisis strikes and then think about what to do are said to manage “behind” the game.

Target Field

If you haven’t watched the video posted on the home page yet, do so. It’s well worth your time. It’s a video of Doug Sisson talking about the three ballparks the Royals will visit on this road trip. Each park is different, each park changes the game.

Of course we’re all aware of how parks affect hitters, but they also affect pitchers, defenses and base running. For instance: in Fenway the rules of thumb used in a trip around the bases change in some important ways. The old adage is “never make the first or third out at third base,” but the Green Monster changes that. A runner on second base is not assured of being able to score on a base hit to left with two outs. Because of his proximity to home plate, a leftfielder with a good arm can make the runner stop at third. Because of this, teams visiting Boston take more chances to get to third base regardless of the number of outs.

After visiting St. Louis and talking about playing left field in Busch Stadium with Alex Gordon, I saw how things changed for him in Houston. And that led me to think I ought to explore this topic further. Doug Sisson was on board and said he’d be willing to shoot a video before every road trip and give us a preview of what we’ll see.

Here’s what he had to say about Target Field: it’s a pitcher’s park and that means the guy on the mound can bite off a bit more of the plate if necessary and still keep the ball in the yard, the ball does not carry well. (It also helps if you have guys who can go get the ball playing outfield.)

Right field has some oddities: a small balcony that overhangs the field and a variety of surfaces for the ball to hit. If it hits above the padding on the right field wall, the ball will come off very hard, if it hits padding, not so much. Guys who play in a park for 81 games should have an advantage of guys who play just a few games there.

If a ball is questionable, the Royals want one fielder attempting to make the catch and another back on the grass playing the carom. If you see two guys on a warning track and the ball gets away from both of them, you’ve just seen a mistake.

During the video Doug says a really interesting thing: the Royals outfielders are throwing people out on the bases because they play shallow. They position themselves to defend the good pitch, not the bad one. If a pitcher jams a hitter and a flare falls in front of an outfielder, that’s on the outfielder. If a ball is launched over the head of an outfielder, that’s on the pitcher.

(By the way: we should all be grateful to the Royals. I get a lot of compliments on this site, but it all starts with the Royals providing their knowledge and insight. I was watching the video and wondering how many teams have coaches explaining their outfield philosophies on video in an attempt to help fans understand and enjoy what they see. If you’re a Royals fan — and I guess you must be if you’re reading this — you’re lucky.)

Before I forget

Doubleheader tomorrow. I’ll post after the first game and again after the second. If you miss the first one and want to read it later, go to the “By Game” section and it will be available there.

Comments

  1. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    This winning streak is awfully fun. I can’t believe that the Central can stay this bad this year, but it’s fun having a reason to watch the game with one eye on CLE/CHW/DET scores.

    I’m sure you’ve probably said this before Lee, but why would a 2-out RBI be harder? On the one hand, you can’t score a runner from third with a sacrifice, but on the other, the runners are going on contact, so lower quality contact can still score a runner from second (or score a runner from third on an infield dribbler).

  2. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    In addition to the fact that you can’t get an RBI without a hit, you also have the fact that the defense is in its optimal position with two outs. They won’t be playing in or at double play depth.

    I must admit that three weeks into the season, I didn’t see us getting this close to .500. I still refuse to think about playoffs until we are a .500 team, but the fact that I might be thinking about the playoffs in the summertime is fun in itself.

  3. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    Crucial start by Mendy to luanch this trip. If he can become a reliable 3rd starter, then this team has a chance to compete. I’m getting used to Broxton. I simply take two Xanax with a double scotch, and I’m all set.

  4. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    Lee, your analogy of Broxton as fireman was a little off — Broxton STARTS the fire and then reappears to put it out!

    Curtis, me thinks you’re already thinking about the playoffs. :)

  5. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    I simply take two Xanax with a double scotch, and I’m all set.”

    I just tell my wife if she isn’t in the room that Scary Broxton is pitching now. Last night was almost too scary!

  6. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    Brendan: Curtis got it right: the defense moves back and plays in an optimal position and you can’t get an RBI on a sac fly or infield out.

    But you make a good point about runners taking off with two outs: there is an added advantage there.

  7. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    Broxton does make it interesting. Thank goodness when you look at win, loss records there is no category for ugly.

  8. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    Jim W.: You’re right, Broxton is an interesting combination of fireman and pyromaniac.

    I wonder how many closers go one, two, three and how many do it in a more heart-attack inducing fashion.

    Brox does give you your money’s worth.

  9. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    The Royals started 3-14 and are now 35-39. Since that losing streak, we’ve been seeing some pretty good baseball and they’ve done it with a makeshift starting rotation and an offense that isn’t firing on all cylinders.

    Who knows what’s next, but, so far this has been an entertaining team to follow.

  10. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    Watched some of Luis Mendoza last night on Game Day and everything was low, in and out, and he varied his speeds. 115 pitches in 8 innings is efficient. Very nicely pitched game.

  11. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    Here’s the Brooks Baseball charts:

    http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/pfx.php?month=06&day=29&year=2012&game=gid20120629kcamlbminmlb1/&prevGame=gid20120629kcamlbminmlb1/&prevDate=0629&pitchSel=434669.xml

    Velocity held up well for the whole game, had good backdoor movement of both 4-seam and 2-seam, threw both for strikes, was living a little higher in the zone than I thought from the brief sample on Game Day.

  12. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    Starting Jonathan Sanchez yet again is idiotic. Someone needs to tell Dayton how idiotic keeping Sanchez in the organization is.

  13. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    He threw slow with no command and control and the fastball up. That tells me he’s hurt and I’ve predicted he goes on the DL with Doug Davis coming up. Of course, Dayton Moore was an idiot a few weeks ago for keeping Luke Hochevar on the roster:)

  14. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    I expect more negative numbers from Sanchez. What is he into the -30s now?

  15. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    If Sanchez isn’t hurt he should probably just retire, as his performance is blowing the chance at tens of millions in FA bucks this winter. He, of all people, should be supremely motivated to excel. As is he’ll be lucky to get a minor-league deal for next season.

  16. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    He should just retire anyway regardless if his arm is hurt or not. Being careless on defense or not paying attention to runners on base has nothing to do with being hurt.

    Bring a kid up from AAA that wants to be on the team over this guy.

  17. 10 months, 3 weeks ago

    Good point, Greg. Wonder if there is an option for suspension if a player isn’t trying?

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