Judging the Royals

Kansas City Star

Games » Detroit Tigers

Jul8

Giving two away

Lee Judge

None

There’s not much point in worrying about things you don’t control. So when things go bad, take a look at what you do control. In the 3rd inning Kyle Davies walked the leadoff batter, Magglio Ordonez, and true to form, the leadoff walk scored.

In the 9th inning, Tim Collins failed to break toward first right away when a ball was hit toward Eric Hosmer. Hosmer made a diving stop (which temporarily saved a run), came up to throw and Collins wasn’t there. That eventually cost the Royals another run and they lost, you guessed it, by two.

Before the game, Ned Yost said this team just isn’t that far away from being competitive. He pointed out that they often have the tying or winning run at the plate at the end of the game, but still lose. If you’re overloaded with talent you can afford to make mistakes, but the 2011 Royals don’t have that margin of error. They need to control what they can control and they can control throwing strikes and covering bases.

A hard .289

In the 7th inning Billy Butler was out on a 6-3. It was a tough play for the shortstop and just about anybody else would have been safe on the play. Chris Getz would’ve turned into a double and Jarrod Dyson might’ve had an inside-the-parker. So whatever Billy hits, there aren’t a lot of cheap ones in there.

Getz ejected

Chris got tossed for the first time in his career after arguing a call at first base. Getz thought he was safe (so did I, but just barely and the call could’ve gone either way…which Getz admitted after seeing the replay). The frustration of scuffling personally and the team losing got to him.

Let’s just say Chris expressed his opinion vociferously, twice, and the umpire said that’s enough. Chris expressed the same opinion a third time while pointing a finger (I told him I thought the finger pointing did him in) and he got tossed.

“So what did you do?” (Players who are ejected have to leave the bench.)

“I really didn’t know where to go. Should I sit just outside the dugout? Should I come up the clubhouse?”

“Next time it happens, call me. We’ll go out to Rivals and have a beer.”

Now that would be funny. Just got to get Getzie tossed again.

Time with Tim

I recently spent some time talking with Tim Collins and he told me often feels like he’s not throwing that well when he’s warming up and hopes to “find it” between the bullpen and the mound. We talked about walks and pitching behind, and he said that usually happens when he’s being “too fine” (trying to just nip the corners) and then has to come back with something a little fatter in the zone.

To complicate matters, pitchers don’t have the same stuff every night, so finding out what you can and can’t do during an appearance is paramount. Starters can do this over the course of a few innings, relievers don’t have that luxury: they need to make adjustments now.

Let the big dog eat

I asked Frenchy if he’s moving the runner when there’s nobody out and someone on second or trying to drive him in. (There’s a sign Eddie Rodriguez can give to let the hitter know what Ned wants done.)

Most of the time, Frenchy’s trying to drive the run in. Which makes sense, he’s on pace for a 100-RBI season.

Defensive indifference

Let’s go back to Thursday night’s game and take a look at interesting situation that arose in the bottom of the 9th inning. Two outs, down by two and Eric Hosmer walked. The Tigers chose not to hold Hosmer since they were up by two, so Eric took second base. It was scored as “defensive indifference”: no stolen base was awarded.

A couple of interesting points here: Doug Sisson told me that if there had been no outs or one out, the Royals would not have run, even if the Tigers didn’t hold the runner. Two reasons: they wouldn’t want to line into a double play with a runner going and they wouldn’t ask a hitter to take a pitch against a tough closer to allow the runner to take the base. So, take the base with two down, but not otherwise.

Second interesting point: the Tigers probably should’ve held the runner, even up by two. The reason? Jeff Francoeur was at the plate and Frenchy rarely hits the ball through the hole at first. So the Tigers could have held the runner and kept the force in order at no cost to themselves.

And that discussion got us off to another interesting point: Doug said it would raise eyebrows, but if there were runners at first and second and the hitter never put the ball through the 3-hole, why not hold the runner at first? His lead would go from 20 feet to 12, he’d have to wait until he was sure the runner on second took off for third to get his own jump and would probably be an easy out at second, which would stop any chance of a double steal. (Man, there’s always something new to learn in this game.)

OK, back to Thursday night: Hosmer takes second and Francoeur follows that up with an infield single, which moves Hosmer to third. Frenchy’s the tying run so the Royals want him in scoring position. He steals second, but it’s scored “defensive indifference” again.

That started an argument in the press box. The official scorer pointed out that the middle infielders never moved, the counter argument was that they didn’t move because the pitch was so bad it spun the catcher around, Frenchy was being held at first and being the tying run, it was unlikely that the Tigers were indifferent to him being on second. The counter argument eventually won.

To finish off that scenario: After Frenchy stole second Mike Moustakas wound up flying out to left field to end the game. Friday afternoon Moose walked up to me and I said, “You’re lucky, with your name you’ll never know if you’re being booed.”

“Were they booing last night?”

“No, Mike, they weren’t.”

“Yeah, the fans have been great. Someone yelled shake it off as I was coming back to the dugout. But I’ve gotta get a hit there. I get a hit and the game is still going.”

“You can’t control that. You control getting a good pitch. Did you get a good pitch?”

“I flew out on a 2-2 splitter. I had to swing. I got a good pitch earlier in the at-bat, but didn’t do anything with it.”

“You’re right, that’s the key: don’t miss your pitch.”

Which brings up an interesting idea: fans tend to think of an at-bat failing with the last pitch, when the at-bat actually went south several pitches before. Like I said at the beginning, control what you can.

14 comments

Timothy Ronan 1 year, 11 months ago

Good work again

Lee Judge 1 year, 11 months ago

Timothy: Thanks very much, I appreciate it. I'm usually writing these notes up at 1AM and I'm nvere sure if they're going to make sense to anyone but me.

Andy McCarl 1 year, 11 months ago

You're right - there's always something to learn. Thanks for bringing it!

Lee Judge 1 year, 11 months ago

Andy: I had an amazing conversation with Doug Sisson the other day. In the course of 10 minutes he said about 10 things I'd never heard or thought of. I was thinking that every fan should hear what he had to say...so I'll write about it very soon.

Jerry Lafferty 1 year, 11 months ago

Lee; with Collins being late off mound to first, should not the catcher get some blame also, isn't it his job to see that doesn't happen. Good work again can't wait to hear what Doug Sisson has to say.

Joel Kallem 1 year, 11 months ago

This game once again underlines our need for starting pitching - either home grown or traded for. Afraid we won't get past this level until we get it, and close but no cigar is not a good place to be.

Lee Judge 1 year, 11 months ago

Jerry: Yes, the catcher's job is to yell 'get over' when the ball is hit to the right side, but even doing that may not get the pitcher there in time.

They say if you delay for even a second, you might be late.

By the way, we've also got a video coming from Sisson. He talks about his responsibilites at first base. As usual, there's more going on there than you might think.

Lee Judge 1 year, 11 months ago

Joel: I think you hit the nail on the head. Sisson also talked about the importance of the Royals grabbing an early lead. The team is structured to score one run at a time (no big home run hitters), if they fall behind early, they have a hard time scrambling back.

If they grab a lead, they can continue to tack on runs and hope to get the game to the pen.

If the starter gives up 5 in the first three innings, the whole plan goes out the window.

Robert Sailler 1 year, 11 months ago

Moustakas is clearly overmatched right now but he will still play everyday because the Royals are playing for next year and beyond. They are not doing everything they can to win today's game, which in my opinion, should be their goal. Win today's game. Does Moustakas give them the best chance to win today? Does carrying six starters and having a short bench give them a chance to win today's game? Does Davies give them the best chance to win? Does not having a back-up middle infielder give them the best chance to win today? Anything less than a commitment to win today's game is a disservice to the team and fans of KC. Build for the future by winning more today.

Chuck Smith 1 year, 11 months ago

Lee, eiter you or some of your counterparts in other sports should be doing the same type of blog in other sports. Can't imagine how helpful something like this would be for a hockey or soccer fan. I've refered almost every baseball fan i know to come here and read.

Jeff Frost 1 year, 11 months ago

Agree! Lee you are the best! Great work.

Steve Alleman 1 year, 11 months ago

Kyle Davies is just not a major league pitcher. Nice fellow, well-trimmed beard, but at this point it's a guaranteed loss when he starts. There's no excuse for him being in the rotation after the break.

I suspect Moustakas is proving he's not ready for prime time yet, but I LOVE the fact that, despite being born some 18 years after Hendrix's death, he's using Voodoo Chile as his walk-up music. They were remarking on this in the booth last night.

Lee Judge 1 year, 11 months ago

Chuck and Jeff: Thanks, I really appreciate it. I agree with you: websites on other sports that concentrate on the player and coaches point of view would be very helpful. (But I don't have the time, energy or knowledge to provide them.)

I thought I knew baseball until I made some friends that played professionally. The stuff they told me was amazing and interesting and I always thought it would be great if I could find a way to share that with other fans. I'm glad the Star provided me with the opportunity.

There's no shortage of websites that provide the view of outsiders. When I start talking too much about what I think (although all my baseball ideas have come from professionals), I'm screwing up.

Who cares what I think about a team's offensive philosophy or the correct way to play a ball in the sun?

But fans should care a lot about what Doug Sisson thinks about the Royals offensive philosopy or how Alex Gordon plays a ball in the sun. (And I'll be writing about both shortly.)

I'm just glad this kind of information has found an audience. Thanks, guys.

Lee Judge 1 year, 11 months ago

Steve and Robert: I sympathize with any fan that's frustrated by the Royals philosophy of struggling now to win later.

For years we've been told to hang tight, better times are on the way. Sooner or later, everyone needs to see results, not another carrot on the end of another long stick.

But...

What if Mike Moustakas has learned all there is to learn at Triple A? What if the only way for him to learn to hit big league pitching is by facing big league pitching?

There are plenty of people who put up numbers in the minors that make fans drool, but quite often, those people can't duplicate those results here in the major leagues.

I won't pretend to know the answer on Moustakas, but it's possible he needs to be here and struggle now to succeed later.

As for Davies: three innings in which he gets lit up, then three innings in which he shuts the hitters down. Obviously, the Royals see something there (plus, they've got a lot of money committed and I don't think there are any buyers lining up). If the Royals can figure out how to get Davies to be more consistent, they need to do it.

Phil Humber is 8-5 with a 3.10 ERA for the White Sox. Did the Royals give up on him too soon? I don't know when the Royals will give up on Davies, but it's clear they're haven't reached that point...yet.

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